Big Bucks in Advertising
by Clarence Jagroopsingh, Research Analyst,
Caribbean Development Strategies
As part of its ongoing media research, Caribbean
Development Strategies Limited (cds) did an
analysis of print advertisement placement in the
three daily newspapers – Express, Newsday and
Guardian. The research was conducted over the
periods Sunday, October 8, 2006 to Saturday,
October 14, 2006 (Week 1) and Sunday, November
5, 2006 to Saturday, November 11, 2006 (Week 2).
For each of the newspapers, the number of full,
three-quarter, half, one-third and quarter page
ads appearing were recorded. The various
advertisers were recorded and were grouped by
sector to facilitate analysis. Cds media
research confirmed that the majority of print
advertising patterns correlate with consumer
demands that are influenced by national events
such as Christmas.
There were marked changes with regard to the
advertising patterns from Week 1 to Week 2
especially in terms of full-page advertising.
For all three newspapers, there were 357 full
page ads appearing at the end of Week 1. There
was a significant increase of almost 40 percent
to 498 ads for the Week 2 period. If each full
page ad for Week 2 was lined up end to end it
would equate to approximately 171 metres or 560
feet of advertising. This would be the same
distance as about 37 maxi taxis lined up bumper
to bumper and represents quite a remarkable
quantity of advertising.
This is almost invariably linked to the start of
the Christmas period demonstrated by an
increased advertising presence by furniture and
furnishing, hardware and home improvement, food
and beverage, automotive and other direct
consumer companies. These companies are
expanding their market presence in order to
capitalise on what has become a traditional
period for increased consumer spending globally.
Advertising trends follow the patterns of
consumer spending which are influenced
seasonally by major occurrences such as
Carnival, Divali, Eid-ul-Fitr and, as is
demonstrated here, by Christmas.
Our research has shows that on average, the
percentages of the various ad sizes were 57
percent full page, 9 percent three-quarter page,
18 percent half page, 9 percent one-third page
and 7 percent quarter page ads appearing in all
three dailies cumulatively. A significant 57
percent of the total ads recorded were full page
ads. The average data is represented below.

Advertising by
Sector
The advertisers recorded were grouped by sector
in order to afford comparative analysis. The
eleven sectors used were Telecom, Financial,
Furniture & Furnishings, Hardware & Home
Improvement, Automotive, Government, Wholesalers
/ Supermarkets / Food & Beverage, Energy,
Haberdashery / Jewellery, Media and Various. The
‘Various’ category was used to group unique
advertisers who each accounted for less than 1
percent of total full page advertising over the
period.
|
Full
Page Advertising by Sector |
|
Sector |
Week 1
Percentages |
Week 2
Percentages |
|
Telecom |
41.7 |
32.9 |
|
Financial |
17.9 |
11.4 |
|
Furniture & Furnishings |
3.9 |
8.4 |
|
Automotive |
4.5 |
7.0 |
|
Government |
22.4 |
8.0 |
|
Wholesalers / Supermarkets / Food &
Beverage |
2.5 |
9.0 |
|
Hardware
/ Home Improvement |
2.0 |
6.0 |
|
Energy |
4.8 |
3.2 |
|
Haberdashery / Jewellery |
0.3 |
3.2 |
|
Media |
0.0 |
4.6 |
|
Various |
0.0 |
6.0 |
|
Total |
100 |
100 |
From the table, the second week of this analysis
saw an increase in the number of full page ads
geared towards the Christmas season.
Telecom Advertising
From the data collected, the telecom sector
dominated print advertising over the recorded
period. This sector accounted for 42 percent of
full page advertising in Week 1 and 33 percent
in Week 2. It must be noted that the drop was
not due to a reduced number of full page ads,
with 149 and 164 in Week 1 and 2 respectively,
but rather, was as a result of increased
advertising in other sectors.
To anyone who reads a newspaper it comes as no
surprise that the ads within the telecom sector
were almost entirely shared between bmobile and
Digicel. In terms of full page telecom ads, in
Week 1 bmobile had 49 percent overall and this
dropped by 12 percent to 37 percent in Week 2.
The converse is true for Digicel who
demonstrated a 12 percent increase with 42
percent in Week 1 going to 54 percent overall in
Week 2.

After a TT$ 1
billion dollar GSM upgrade and an intense
marketing campaign, bmobile recently declared
that it had achieved its stated target of one
million customers in T&T. In a recent article,
Digicel declared that it has invested TT$1.9
billion thus far. The use of print advertising
in both these campaigns is justified by the 2006
cds Media Trace Report findings where 81 percent
of the respondents indicated that they read a
newspaper at least four days a week.
This kind of intense and substantial advertising
war has never been demonstrated in the local
print media before. These trends are
demonstrative of the large advertising campaigns
waged by both companies in their attempts to
corner the mobile market. The demonstrated
step-up and step-down by Digicel and bmobile
respectively over the two measured periods may
be indicative of how successful each of the
companies has been coming to the end of the
year. As the Christmas season unfolds it is
expected that both companies will engage in
innovative print advertising campaigns apart
from regular newspaper advertising.
The Christmas Season
With November marking the start of the Christmas
season, the various advertisers have stepped up
their print presence in an effort to capture the
consumers’ ‘Christmas dollar’. This is validated
by the fact that the largest increases from Week
1 to Week 2 were demonstrated by the Furniture &
Furnishings, Hardware & Home Improvement,
Wholesalers / Supermarkets / Food & Beverage and
Haberdashery / Jewellery advertisers.
The Local Media Market
There was an interesting increase in terms of
advertising in the media sector. The absence of
this sector in the first recorded week was
offset by a significant presence in the second
week. This was mostly driven by the marketing
campaign launched by the newest media body on
the local market – the Caribbean New Media Group
(CNMG). Having officially launched its
television station at the end of September, the
state-run media group has actively commenced its
marketing campaign.
With the net worth of all print and electronic
advertising locally last year standing at an
estimated TT$ 448.6 million, local media houses
have stepped up to compete for percentages of
this revenue. CNMG accounted for 66 percent of
Week 2 media ads with advertising messages
highlighting their television station CNMG-TV
and their recently launched – Radio 91.1FM Talk
City. CNMG is campaigning aggressively to
establish a media presence. In so doing, they
have declared their intention to capture a
significant part of the local media market.
CNMG’s marketing focus on its talk radio facet
in 91.1FM Talk City is in itself a significant
occurrence. At the time of the 2006 cds Media
Trace Report, 91.1FM was not yet in operation.
However, their entrance into the talk radio
market is supported by the 2006 cds Media Trace
Report that shows 37% of the respondents
indicating that they prefer talk radio.
Financial Advertising
Financial companies accounted for 18 percent of
full page advertising in Week 1 and 11 percent
in Week 2. In terms of the banks, First
Citizen’s Bank maintained the biggest sustained
presence over both weeks with 19 and 12 percent
of financial advertising in Week 1 and Week 2
respectively. Cds’ research saw the Unit Trust
Corporation increase their overall ad presence
four-fold from Week 1 to Week 2. CLICO was the
only company that recorded a significant drop
due to an intense campaign recorded over Week 1
that included 19 full page ads, which was
reduced considerably to 4 full page ads in Week
2.
Government Advertising
Comparatively there was only one significant
decrease in advertising and this was
demonstrated within the Government sector. There
were 80 full page ads in Week 1 which dropped to
40 by Week 2. This was largely due to a number
of ads appearing in Week 1 for the Ministry of
Science, Technology and Tertiary Education (STTE)
which were not repeated in the second week of
recording. The research noted that the National
Lotteries Control Board (NLCB) ads decreased
from 13 full page ads in Week 1 to 8 full page
ads in Week 2.
The Worth of an Ad
In general, the rates paid for print advertising
vary by a number of factors including the
newspaper advertised with, the frequency of
appearance and a choice between specifications
such as weekday or weekend appearance and black
and white or full colour ads. Also, readers must
note that corporate advertisers usually purchase
blocks of advertising space resulting in reduced
rates.
In an effort to quantify the findings, Cds
calculated the average rate for the one-time
appearance of a full colour, full page ad
(regardless of the other pricing factors) to be
approximately $ 8,750. This implies that for
Week 2 when advertising increased, the total
full page advertising had an estimated market
value of more than $ 4.3 million. Projected over
a year this represents potential advertising
revenues in excess of $ 226 million. It is no
surprise therefore that, in general, newspapers
aim at a 7:3 ratio in terms of advertising to
editorial space.
This analysis of the advertising trends present
in the print media is demonstrative of the
marketing strategies employed by the various
companies. Caribbean Development Strategies has
shown the effect of the ‘mobile wars’ waged
between the two major competitors on the quantum
of print advertising purchased. We have also
verified the fact that consumer demands are
influenced by national events such as Christmas.
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Carniomics – The New Economics of Carnival
by Clarence Jagroopsingh,
Research Analyst, Caribbean Development
Strategies
Coming out of the Christmas season, Trinidad and
Tobago Carnival celebrations are the focal point
of the national consciousness. Sights, sounds
and activities are now moulded into “the
Greatest Show on Earth”. We may all recognise
and participate in this national festival, but
how many of us have really paid attention to the
economics of Carnival?
Let’s talk business.
Background
Carnival began as a Catholic celebration in
Italy called “carnevale” which means “to put
away the meat”. As a wild costume party the day
before the start of fasting during Lent, this
practice spread to the other Catholic nations in
Europe. As the French settlers began to arrive
in Trinidad around 1785, they brought
“carnevale” with them. Gatherings were held
where the planters put on masks, wigs, and other
decorations and danced the night away.
The African slaves recognised this practice as
being parallel to their own cultural traditions
of parading in costumes and masks. They began
their own celebrations and incorporated their
own traditions of using grasses, beads, shells
and feathers to make costumes. In 1838, when
slavery was abolished, the free Africans took
their celebrations to the streets. Since then
Carnival has grown as a major part of our
national identity and has grabbed the attention
of the world.
Far from the days of grass and feathers,
Carnival has grown into big business. Every
aspect of this celebration has a commercial
aspect that is explored with each successive
year towards earning revenue. A national
celebration that was tethered to religion and
African heritage has been transformed into a
goliath of capitalism to be conquered by
profiteers.
Mas Bands
Mas Bands represent the focal point of Carnival
and, apart from creative expression and
fun-loving revellers; they generate
mega-profits. This year, extra-large bands of
over 3,000 persons (all size categorisations are
National Carnival Bands Association (NCBA)
specified) have an average individual cost of
TT$2,000 to TT$4,000. With an estimate of 5
extra-large bands comprising at least 3,000
persons each, this translates to a minimum TT$
45 million dollars in revenue.
With large bands comprising of 1001 to 3000
persons at an individual cost of TT$1,500 to
TT$2,500, medium-sized bands comprising of 301
to 1000 persons at an individual cost of TT$700
to TT$1,500, and with small bands comprising of
51 to 300 persons to mini-bands with 11 to 50
persons absorbing the remaining Carnival
masqueraders at low cost, the revenue derived by
Mas bands alone can be expected to approach the
TT$100 million dollar mark this year.
There is a lot of money to be made around the
focal point of Mas bands apart from the bands
themselves. A beehive of artisans, performers,
DJs, transportation, security forces, sanitary
workers and street vendors surround these bands
to the tune of hundreds of thousands of dollars
in income. The spider-web of economic activity
centred around a Mas band is often as
substantial as the band itself.
Carnival Fetes
Carnival fetes have grown in significance over
the years and from January 6th to
February 24th 2007 there will be no
less than 300 Carnival fetes in Trinidad and
Tobago. Big fetes, with an estimated crowd of
between 2,000 and 10,000 persons cost TT$60 – TT$
120. Admission revenues to these fetes alone
will range in the millions, and with patrons
expected to spend at least TT$150 each on food
and drinks, this adds up to further millions in
potential revenue.
All-inclusive and now, ultra-inclusive fetes,
have risen to prominence in recent years,
especially given concerns regarding crime. On
average, a ticket to an all-inclusive fete will
cost between TT$300 and TT$700 and with crowds
in the range of 200 to 2,500 persons, this add
up to estimated average earnings of TT$ 625,000
per all-inclusive. With no less than 50 of these
all-inclusive parties this year, this translates
to over TT$30 million in revenue to these
organisers.
The Performers
These fetes also represent a lucrative financial
avenue for performers, who are the linchpins of
these fetes. Promoters who hire top notch
artistes like Machel Montano HD, Bunji Garlin,
Destra Garcia and Shurwayne Winchester are
almost guaranteed a sell-out event. With
appearance fees in the range of TT$ 5,000 to TT$
10,000, top acts make top dollar, chalking up
two to three appearances on any Carnival
weekend.
Bands and lesser-known artistes also cash in on
the fete industry with big name bands raking in
fees in the range of TT$ 15,000 per performance
and average artists earning up to TT$ 2,000 per
gig. For many of these performers, the carnival
season represents a welcome windfall.
Altogether, the Carnival season adds up to big
bucks for the performers who make it memorable.
Sponsors
Sponsors also line up to eke out the most
mileage from the Carnival product. Carib, Stag,
bmobile, Digicel, Angostura, Toyota, Johnnie
Walker, Hennessey, Blue Waters, Smirnoff Ice and
Fernandez, to name just a few, are partnering
with fete organisers and band leaders in an
effort to capitalise on publicity and revenue
within the Carnival market.
Carib Brewery is sponsoring over 70 events for
Carnival 2007 including a number of
all-inclusive fetes. Digicel and bmobile have
also taken their rivalry into the Carnival arena
as they have become big-time sponsors of various
Carnival events. Carnival is big business and
these sponsors are ensuring that they get their
piece of the pie.
With giant corporate sponsors like these in the
mix, top-billing artists are headlining Carnival
marketing campaigns. More exclusive powerhouse
partnerships, for instance the coupling between
bmobile and Machel Montano HD are now
commonplace.
The Tents
Tents are also a cornerstone of the Carnival
psyche and represent and avenue where
aficionados of the local performing arts enjoy
the latest offerings of their favourite
artistes. This year there are some twenty Kaiso
and Humorous Tents across the country, looking
to capitalise on the popularity of the nation’s
calysonians, soca and chutney artistes and
comedians.
Government Subventions
The Government of Trinidad and Tobago plays an
important role in ensuring that Carnival
celebrations are successful. Government
subventions, as dispensed through the Ministry
of Culture and relevant agencies such as the
National Carnival Commission (NCC), seek to
maintain and develop the Greatest Show on Earth.
This year, the overall budget for NCC, which
includes NCC’s Administrative and all related
Carnival costs, is a reported TT$ 79 million.
Mainstream cultural organisations receive
support through these mechanisms, such as
PanTrinbago who received TT$ 11 million in 2006.
Most importantly, this financial support from
Government ensures the sustainability of
Carnival celebrations at a grassroots level,
such as regional Carnival celebrations.
Tourism
Visitors to our country represent a viable means
of income with capacity bookings during this
season.
According to the Ministry of Tourism, in terms
of Carnival visitors to Trinidad and Tobago,
there were 40,455 in 2004, 42,000 in 2005 and
40,000 in 2006. This year, there are expected to
be between 50,000 and 60,000 visitors stemming
from an intense marketing campaign, catalysed by
the attention brought via our appearance in the
2006 FIFA World Cup Finals held in Germany.
With an average tourist expenditure of TT$306
per day in 2004, this figure is expected to rise
to an estimated TT$400 given the effects of
inflation on the cost of living. For a two-week
stay, this translates to staggering potential
revenue base of TT$ 308 million. This year, when
these visitors leave after the Carnival season,
the revenues from Departure Tax at the airport
alone will add up to millions of TT dollars.
The Ministry of Tourism’s figures for 2004,
estimated for a two-week stay, showed that
German visitors spent TT$6,000, averaging 10%
more than Americans who spent TT$5,400 and 160%
more than Canadians who spent TT$ 2,300. This is
good news for local businesses, given that many
of the increased visitors this year are expected
to arrive from Germany, as a result of heavy
tourism marketing.
Many sectors of the economy benefit from these
tourists including local artisans, restaurants
and the hotels where these guests stay. Visitors
can spend anywhere from TT$300 to over TT$1,000
per night at one of these hotels and the average
stay of these visitors is in the range of 1 to 2
weeks. The intense economic activity surrounding
Carnival tourism is often the most viable source
of income over an annual period.
The Sustainable Industry
To locals and visitors alike, Carnival offers a
plethora of activities to become immersed in.
Apart from the fetes, kaiso and humour tents and
actual Carnival Monday and Tuesday celebrations,
there are events like the Calypso Monarch,
Calypso Queen, Young King, Panorama Finals,
Junior Panorama Finals, Soca Monarch, Road March
and the Groovy Soca Monarch that have a viable
lasting effect on participants and witnesses
alike. Apart from the prizes to be won by the
participants of these events, there are a number
of long-terms benefits to be derived.
Last year saw a number of entertainers
including, Roy Cape, Kes Dieffenthaller, Black
Stalin, Rikki Jai representing Trinidad and
Tobago as part of the support for the Soca
Warriors in the 2006 World Cup Finals in
Germany. Mas band leaders – the Mas Men – are
also getting involved, and after local
celebrations, they head out to get involved in
other international events. Sterling examples of
this are local heroes like Peter Minshall and
Stephen Derek.
Performers in the Panorama competitions were
traditionally comprised of temporary workers who
made money sporadically. Being a steelpan player
was never viewed as a profession, but due to the
economic viability of Carnival, this has
changed. A journey from the start of Carnival
celebrations to the end of the Panorama Finals
will cost one of the bigger bands in the region
of TT$ 1 million. Many bands now do
international tours as demonstrated by Phase II
Pan Groove in 2006, when they embarked on an
international tour in addition to making
appearances on German television and BBC.
Those who stand out in Trinidad and Tobago
celebrations remain in demand well after the
local season, leading to year-round economic
viability. The architects of the local industry
are in demand for Carnival celebrations in other
Caribbean nations as well as parts of Canada,
United States and Europe. The international
demand for our local talent and expertise has
led to the formation of a viable year-round
industry that supports a significant part of our
entertainment industry.
Employment
Carnival and its impacts upon the economy are as
dynamic as they are consequential. During
Carnival, a great deal of seasonal employment is
generated in almost every sector of this
entertainment leviathan. Carnival celebrations
over the years have led to the development of
persons with specialised skills, as well as a
series of spin-off economic activities that
sometimes extend beyond the local Carnival
season.
There are artisans involved in Mas production as
well as those catering to the tourist market,
security personnel, transportation, street
vendors and clean-up crews just to name a few.
It is difficult to assess, in exact measures,
just how many persons derive revenue either
directly or indirectly from the Carnival season,
but the number is clearly significant.
The Transformation of
Carnival
Carnival has not only undergone a transformation
in terms of trying to maximise its economic
viability, but it has also received a modern
facelift. The introduction of technology,
especially the internet, is apparent and this
tool has been used for a variety of purposes
ranging from marketing the event to a global
audience as well as for the sale of costumes by
leading Mas bands etc. This year, T&T Carnival
will be viewed by the world via the
entertainment channels on international cable
television.
The roots of this national festival are
spreading to meld various aspects of national,
regional and even international culture. This is
demonstrated by the fusion of previously
indo-centric chutney music with traditional
styles like soca and calypso as well as the
incorporation of regional and international
performers as part of the Carnival celebrations.
Trinidad and Tobago’s Carnival has grown into a
global entertainment event.
The Billion Dollar Event
It can be seen from the economic aspects of
Carnival discussed here, as well as advertising,
transportation, liquor sales, merchandising
etc.; Trinidad and Tobago Carnival has grown
into a billion dollar industry.
No other single national event has far reaching
socio-economic impact as Carnival, and the
avenues for economic gain are far from being
exhausted. Carniomics represents the measurement
of vast financial influence of this significant
sector of our economy.
Caribbean Development
Strategies is one of the Caribbean’s leading
Market Research and Consultancy Firms. For more
information please feel free to contact us at
(868) 665 9984 or info@cdsonline.biz. You can
also visit us online at
www.cdsonline.biz.
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Crime Central – Worry,
Fear and Dissatisfaction
by Clarence Jagroopsingh, Research Analyst,
Caribbean Development Strategies
Worry about crime,
fear of being attacked, dissatisfaction with the
Government’s approach to crime and a lack of
confidence in the Police Service where some of
the major findings of a recently concluded Crime
Risk Assessment Survey conducted by Caribbean
Development Strategies Limited (cds).
In the period 13th
to15th February 2007, cds conducted the crime
risk assessment in Chaguanas. This survey, which
had a sample frame of 167 business places,
sought to capture the business community’s
viewpoint on crime and how it has directly
affected them. The businesses sampled were
randomly selected via face-to-face interviews
conducted in areas including Chaguanas,
Montrose, Charlieville and Enterprise.
According to the Central Statistical Office (CSO)
2004 Pocket Digest, there were 1,370 registered
business establishments in the Borough of
Chaguanas. Our sample of 167 represents a
significant 12 percent of this figure.
Cds believes that through the analysis of this
commercial microcosm, we can have an unbiased
appreciation of the perception of crime by
certain sectors of the national business
community.
Survey Demographics
Of the persons interviewed in the various
business places, 46 percent were owners, 34
percent were managers and 20 percent were senior
employees. Many of the Chaguanas businesses had
women in either ownership or a senior position
as overall the respondents were 58 percent
female and 42 percent male.
In terms of employment, 72 percent employed
between 1 and 5 persons, 19 percent employed
between 6 and 10 persons and the remaining 9
percent had more than 10 employees. Many of the
businesses have been established for a
significant period of time as 46 percent have
been open for over 10 years, 21 percent between
5 and 10 years, 21 percent between 2 and 5 years
with the remainder existing for 2 years or less.
This demographic information facilitates
examination principles such as trend analysis,
and allows for formation of conclusions based on
the responses.
The Effect of Crime
When asked about how worried they were about
crime, an overwhelming 94 percent were ‘very
worried’ while the remaining 6 percent stated
that they were ‘not very worried’. This
statistic confirms the reality of the crime
situation in Chaguanas. In terms of being
negatively affected by crime, 68 percent
indicated that they were ‘very affected’, 24
percent said they were ‘slightly affected’ and 7
percent were ‘not at all affected’.
An alarming 49 percent of the sample stated that
their business place had been directly attacked
by criminals. With one in every two businesses
interviewed having been attacked, those most at
risk were supermarkets, pharmacies, jewellers,
small food outlets, vegetable/fruit stalls and
pet stores. For these businesses, low security
and cash-in-hand are the common criminal
temptations.
Regarding the direct effects of crime on the
business place, 71 percent stated that they were
forced to operated under reduced business hours,
70 percent indicated that they had experienced a
loss in sales and 66 percent had incurred
increased security costs. However, it must be
noted that 68 percent indicated that they had
not experienced a loss in staff due to the
effects of crime.
How Long Now?
Cds then sought to determine the time frame of
the perceived growth of crime. Overall, 53
percent of the interviewees responded that crime
became a major concern between the last 2 to 5
years. A significant 37 percent indicated that
crime as a national concern has existed for over
5 years now.
The reported time frame for the apparent growth
in crime parallels the 15 percent increase in
the number of businesses in Chaguanas between
2002 and 2004. This points to a ‘mobility’
aspect of crime and implies that criminals move
to areas where crime is more ‘profitable’. This
relationship could explain why most respondents
believe that crime has escalated between the
last 2 to 5 years.
The Conceivable Contraction
of Chaguanas
The growth of Chaguanas has been documented in a
number of publications including the
March 2001 UdeCOTT Chaguanas
Local Area Plan (available at www.nalis.gov.tt/
ExecutiveSummary_ChaguanasLocalAreaPlan-.html)
and a July 2004 article by Afra Raymond
(available at http://www.raymondandpierre.com/articles/article23.htm).
The Chaguanas Local Area Plan highlighted
the dynamic expansion
including a forecasted population increase from
91,000 in 2000 to 126,000 by 2020 and an
increase in employment from 35,000 jobs in 2000
to 55,000 jobs over the same period. From the
article by Afra Raymond it can be seen that the
price of real estate generally doubled from 2000
to 2004. Between 2002 and 2004, the CSO Business
Survey Establishment Register recorded the
number of business establishments in Chaguanas
as follows:
|
2002 |
2003 |
2004 |
|
1,200 |
1,272 |
1,370 |
Despite these trends, the current results of the
cds crime risk assessment point to a possible
socio-economic contraction of Chaguanas as a
direct result of crime. When asked if they would
be investing in expanding their businesses over
the next 12 to 18 months, a considerable 71
percent said ‘no’, 12 percent said ‘yes’ and 17
percent chose not to respond.
When questioned as
to their most likely option were crime to
continue at its present rate, 37 percent said
that they would ‘operate as normal’, 31 percent
said that they would ‘close operations’, 11
percent would opt to ‘sell the business’, 8
percent would ‘keep the business but migrate’, 1
percent said they would ‘move the business from
Chaguanas’ with the remainder choosing not to
respond.
From these results,
it is clear that if the current trend of crime
goes unchecked, the positive growth expected for
Chaguanas might not be realised. This is
significant to the social and economic health of
the area and crime must be reduced if the area
is to achieve its stated potential.
The Fear of
Crime
Apart from the
economic effects of crime, there is also a
tangible psychological effect that is equally
consequential. In attempting to measure the
degree of fear manifest in the Chaguanas
business community, respondents was asked about
how fearful they were of they or someone they
know being a victim of crime. As can be seen
from the following results, most of the surveys
respondents were ‘very fearful’ with regard to
the threats listed.
|
Threat |
Very Fearful |
A Little Fearful |
Not At All
Fearful |
|
Attacked at home |
87 |
10 |
4 |
|
Attacked at work |
86 |
8 |
5 |
|
Kidnapped |
85 |
9 |
6 |
Stemming from this
fear, and given the current perceived crime
situation, the likely reaction by the business
community was gauged. In responding to what they
would most likely do, 40 percent indicated that
they would consider leaving the country and 4
percent indicated that they had already begun
the process of emigration. An optimistic outlook
pervades however, as 55 percent have decided to
stay and wait for the situation to improve.
It must be noted
that during some of the face-to-face interviews,
there was a tangible emotion surrounding crime
that could not be quantified. One business owner
and resident of Chaguanas tearfully related an
incident where her young child was held at
gunpoint while the family was being robbed.
Another young man indicated that he was closing
his business the very next day because of the
threats to his life stemming from crime in the
area.
The fear of crime in
Chaguanas is having a psychological effect where
the quality of life for many business persons
has been reduced. In addition, crime and the
resulting fear are threatening the economy with
the possibility of capital flight and losing the
benefits of entrepreneurship.
The Role of the
Government and Police
The populace expects
the elected government to provide key essential
services and a range of support services. Apart
from health, education and other necessities,
the government is expected to uphold law and
order and maintain control over crime. The
police service is regarded as the conduit via
which this control is exercised by the
government.
Cds sought to
determine the satisfaction rating with regard to
the government’s approach to handling crime. As
can be seen from the chart, 91 percent of the
respondents expressed some level of
dissatisfaction with the government’s
performance in handling the crime situation in
Chaguanas.

The survey
questioned the business community as to their
belief that the crime situation was solvable by
government action. 56 percent indicated that
they believed that it could be solved by
government action while 42 percent disagreed.
Many of those who did not believe that the
solution of crime was solely dependent on
government action alluded to a more holistic
approach where the government empowers private
sector and community groups involved in crime
prevention and community protection.
In ascertaining a
confidence rating of the business community with
regard to the police service, 57 percent were
‘not at all confident’, 25 percent were ‘not
very confident’ 17 percent were ‘fairly
confident’ and none of the respondents indicated
that they were ‘very confident’. Overall, it is
obvious that both the government and the police
service lack the satisfaction and confidence of
the Chaguanas business community in handling the
current crime situation.
In remedying this
situation, the respondents were asked if they
agreed or not to certain suggestions. 98 percent
stated that they wanted to see a ‘greater police
presence in the community’ and 93 percent
supported an ‘anti-crime coalition by all
stakeholders in Chaguanas’. A significant
percentage also indicated that they wanted both
the Mayor and Member of Parliament of Chaguanas
to take a more active role.
Fighting Back
The call for a
national shutdown by social activist Inshan
Ishmael was seen as a positive move in the fight
against crime by 74 percent of the business
persons interviewed. In fact, 97 percent of
those who supported the initial national
shutdown said that they would support a similar
action in the future.
Within recent weeks
public personalities and certain politicians
have publicly advocated the right for
law-abiding citizens to bear arms. Of the
business persons interviewed, 59 percent agreed
with the call for law-abiding citizens to have
the right to bear arms and 84 percent said ‘yes’
to the question, “Should the law be amended such
that the criminal use of guns becomes subject to
the application of the death penalty?”
When asked about the
significance of the recent Parliamentary
Legislation, the DNA Act and the Witness
Protection Act, in the fight against crime, both
pieces of legislation received a favorable
response of 95 percent and 86 percent
respectively.
The Major Causes
Caribbean
Development Strategies asked the participants to
affirm or negate suggestions for the major
causes of crime today. These causes are
presented with the accompanying percentages of
agreement and disagreement.
|
Cause of Crime |
Yes |
No |
NR |
|
Drugs |
99 |
1 |
0 |
|
Breakdown of
Family Values |
99 |
1 |
0 |
|
Poor Government
Policy |
99 |
1 |
0 |
|
Inefficient
Police |
97 |
2 |
1 |
|
Lack of
Discipline from Parents |
96 |
2 |
2 |
|
Too Lenient
Sentencing |
92 |
7 |
1 |
|
Racial Tension |
91 |
7 |
2 |
|
Unemployment |
89 |
11 |
0 |
|
Violence in
Entertainment (TV, movies etc) |
89 |
10 |
1 |
|
The Education
System |
82 |
17 |
1 |
|
Poverty |
78 |
22 |
0 |
What I Would Do
The survey then
derived the perspectives of the business
community with regard to what measures they saw
as being important in the fight against crime.
The measures, all of which were deemed
important, are represented as follows:
|
Measure Against
Crime |
Yes |
No |
NR |
|
Punishing
Criminals |
99 |
0 |
1 |
|
Fighting Drug
Abuse |
98 |
2 |
0 |
|
Fighting Domestic
Abuse |
98 |
1 |
1 |
|
Re-introducing a
Value System |
98 |
1 |
1 |
|
Reform of the
Police Service |
97 |
1 |
2 |
|
Generating
Employment |
93 |
4 |
3 |
The final aspect of
the survey involved cds asking the respondents
to put forward their main suggestion with regard
to dealing with crime. 34 percent zeroed in on
the police with a substantial call for police
reform and a request for greater police
presence. Another 22 percent of those
interviewed pointed to stiffer penalties and
half of these pointed to the use of the death
penalty as a deterrent to crime.
A myriad of other
suggestions were proposed and included a change
of government, business people arming
themselves, ending corruption, strengthening
morals and values, a call for national unity and
prayer.
Conclusion
Beneath the media
generated publicity and public forum
discussions, there exist a real and pervasive
feelings of hopelessness, fear and
dissatisfaction with regard to the current crime
situation.
As with any
microcosm, the Chaguanas business community is a
representative system having
parallels to the larger system. Following the
analysis of the data, the country is facing a
significant obstacle in crime, an obstacle which
could threaten to undermine the benefits of the
current pace of development.
The opinions of the business community in the
cds Crime Risk Assessment for Chaguanas
support the fact that crime is a substantial
socio-economic threat that must be dealt with
before it becomes insurmountable.
Caribbean Development
Strategies is one of the Caribbean’s leading
Market Research and Consultancy Firms. To
purchase a copy of the full report based on this
survey or for any information please contact us
at (868) 665 9984 or info@cdsonline.biz. You can
also visit us online at
www.cdsonline.biz.
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